Early Thoughts on Russian Invasion of Ukraine

Early Thoughts on Russian Invasion of Ukraine

Friends   As I am sure you know the Russians did move on Ukraine last night. Of course, we have no idea what the outcome will be. We have an idea of some of the short-term effects (see the price of oil), but no one knows just how all of this will play out in the...

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Early Thoughts on Russian Invasion of Ukraine

Stocks Recover From Morning Selloff

Friends As expected, it was a wild day of trading after the news that the Russians had invaded Ukraine last night. Stocks fell at the open with the Dow down more than 800 points at its worst this morning. But as the day wore on it appeared that market participants...

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Early Thoughts on Russian Invasion of Ukraine

Stocks Continue To Struggle

Friends   Whether it has to do with mounting global pressures or the continuing series of headwinds we’ve talked about for many months now, stocks are really struggling at the moment. The selling appears to be somewhat indiscriminating and simply a move to reduce...

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Early Thoughts on Russian Invasion of Ukraine

More Global Headline Damage

Friends   With a three-day weekend ahead and the winds of war blowing through the Twitterverse , stocks never really had a chance today. Oh, the bulls mounted several attempts to rally the troops, but there is just too much uncertainty heading into this weekend...

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Early Thoughts on Russian Invasion of Ukraine

Nervous Before A Long Weekend

Friends   With a three-day weekend ahead and the winds of war blowing through the Twitterverse , stocks never really had a chance today. Oh, the bulls mounted several attempts to rally the troops, but there is just too much uncertainty heading into this weekend...

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Early Thoughts on Russian Invasion of Ukraine

Stocks Erase Losses to End Mixed

Friends   Despite a robust retail sales number stocks still moved lower at the open this morning. The Russians didn’t move on Ukraine, but market participants aren’t convinced that Mr. Putin is just going to take his ball and go home. Stocks were lingering in...

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Early Thoughts on Russian Invasion of Ukraine

Global Tensions Ease

Friends   It appears for the moment that the Russians are holding off/reconsidering their potential engagement with Ukraine. That helped take some tension out of the stock market and shave a few dollars off of oil prices. This morning’s PPI number was hotter than...

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Early Thoughts on Russian Invasion of Ukraine

Markets Continue To Monitor Global Tensions

Friends   Market participants are dealing with a double dose of uncertainties at the moment as we get hour by hour reports of Russian movements at the Ukraine border, and constant Fed Speak from Fed officials about the course of the Fed’s upcoming tightening...

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Early Thoughts on Russian Invasion of Ukraine

Global Tensions

Friends It was already a somewhat gloomy day on Wall Street. Stocks had tried to show a little resilience after yesterday’s inflation fear induced drubbing, but the hangover was palpable. Sentiment was dreary, the bears were dominating business television, and by...

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Early Thoughts on Russian Invasion of Ukraine

Whip Inflation Now

Friends So here is the recap of today’s market action. First, this morning before the open we got a hot January CPI number hinting that inflation hasn’t yet begun to abate. The hot inflation number caused the yield on the 10-year Treasury Note to move up above 2%....

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Early Thoughts on Russian Invasion of Ukraine

Stocks Higher Ahead of CPI Release

Friends It was another spirited trading session for the bulls as even hawkish comments from a Fed President could dampen the enthusiasm. I asked yesterday if investors were becoming more comfortable with the whole idea of higher interest rates. Of course, the bears...

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Early Thoughts on Russian Invasion of Ukraine

More Inclusive Move Higher For Stocks

Friends   Are market participants beginning to become comfortable with the realization that interest rates are going higher? We saw the yield on the 10-year Treasury Note move above 1.95% for the first time in a couple of years, and stocks seemed to be just fine...

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Early Thoughts on Russian Invasion of Ukraine

Without Much Conviction

Friends   It was a sloppy day of trading without much conviction on either side of the playing field. Big Tech names continue to be under selling pressure and the less quality growth names from the past couple of years have yet to find a bottom, though many are...

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Early Thoughts on Russian Invasion of Ukraine

Stunning Jobs Report

Friends Just as Meta (Facebook) took the wind out of the sails of the bulls on Thursday, Amazon actually helped get things back on track after a nice earnings release after the close yesterday. Then this morning we got a very good, but very confusing, jobs report....

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