Surprising Jobs Number

Oct 4, 2024 | Market Commentary

Friends

 

Today’s non-farm payroll number came in much better than expected with 254,000 new jobs created in September vs. the 150,000 expected by analysts. We also saw a sizable upward revision in the August number. Stocks liked the news, bonds did not. Bond yields rose as fears that the Fed might be more subdued in their rate reduction schedule (remember yields up means prices down for bonds). Stocks on the other hand seemed to welcome the news that the economy sure looks pretty darn good given the fears of recession that we have seen for more than a year now.

 

By the close the Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 341 points to finish the day at 42,352. The S&P 500 was up 51 points to close at 5,750. The Nasdaq Composite Index was up 219 points to close at 18,137. Gold was down $10 to trade at $2,669 per ounce, while oil was up $.77 to trade at $74.48 per barrel WTI.

 

The bulls are firmly entrenched on the high ground. The bears will have to regroup and come up with a new battle plan. It looked like the new quarter might get off to a rocky start, but today’s jobs number seemed to trump worries about rising gas prices and strife in the Middle East. We’ll let you know how things go next week. Stay tuned.

 

Have a great weekend everyone.

Recent Posts

Tech Stocks Continue to Drag Market Lower

Tech Stocks Continue to Drag Market Lower

Friends The weakness in tech/AI stocks continues and the market averages, especially the Nasdaq, continue to lose ground as we get closer to year end. Instead of taking a victory lap the stocks that have been the leaders all year long are now cowering nervously in the...

Stocks Mostly Lower after Employment Data Release

Stocks Mostly Lower after Employment Data Release

Friends This morning’s release of the November non-farm payroll number showed that 64,000 new jobs were added, which was better than analysts had expected. The unemployment rate did tick up to 4.6%, which was actually more than expected. It’s hard to determine if this...

Stocks Soft As Economic Data Looms

Stocks Soft As Economic Data Looms

Friends Today was pretty much the same script we have seen over the past couple of weeks. The AI/big tech names came under selling pressure enough to take the market averages into negative territory. It’s hard to read too much into recent market action as we are so...