Fed Holds But Stocks Fall

May 2, 2018 | Market Commentary

Friends 

The Fed decision today not to raise interest rates was certainly not a surprise. Stocks rallied for about 10 minutes after the announcement this afternoon, but quickly reversed course and again headed into negative territory. Once again, despite good earnings reports, including a surprisingly good report from Apple after the close yesterday, stocks just can’t seem to find buying support. Once again, we are challenging the February lows. 

After a seesaw session, by the close the Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 174 points to finish the day at 23,924. The S&P 500 was down 19 points to close at 2,635. Gold was down $1 to trade at $1,305 per ounce, while oil was up $.46 to trade at $67.71 per barrel WTI. 

On the employment front, the ADP private payroll number was a little better than expected indicating that job creation continues to be strong. Friday’s non-farm payroll number will be watched closely with expectations being that about 190,000 new jobs were created in April. Today’s FOMC statement leads us to still believe that the Fed will raise rates 2 more times this year, not 3 more hikes like some still predict. Of course, economic data will and should continue to dictate the rate of speed that additional rate hikes take. Let’s see how the rest of the week plays out. 

Have a nice evening everyone.

Recent Posts

Tech Stocks Continue to Drag Market Lower

Tech Stocks Continue to Drag Market Lower

Friends The weakness in tech/AI stocks continues and the market averages, especially the Nasdaq, continue to lose ground as we get closer to year end. Instead of taking a victory lap the stocks that have been the leaders all year long are now cowering nervously in the...

Stocks Mostly Lower after Employment Data Release

Stocks Mostly Lower after Employment Data Release

Friends This morning’s release of the November non-farm payroll number showed that 64,000 new jobs were added, which was better than analysts had expected. The unemployment rate did tick up to 4.6%, which was actually more than expected. It’s hard to determine if this...

Stocks Soft As Economic Data Looms

Stocks Soft As Economic Data Looms

Friends Today was pretty much the same script we have seen over the past couple of weeks. The AI/big tech names came under selling pressure enough to take the market averages into negative territory. It’s hard to read too much into recent market action as we are so...