S&P Downgrade

Aug 8, 2011 | Market Commentary

Friends

As I am sure you aware by now, Standard and Poors downgraded U.S. Government debt from AAA to AA+ on Friday evening. This was not unexpected, but the emotional effect will be manifested in stock prices this morning. In Europe, the ECB is buying Spanish and Italian bonds but after an initial bounce in those markets, European stocks are trading lower.

The irony, is that investors will sell stocks this morning (U. S. Companies with great balance sheets and nice dividends) and buy the Treasury bonds that just got downgraded (rates are actually dropping this morning). Investors will deposit money in banks that a) will buy Treasuries with the deposits and b) are actually the most exposed to a weakening economy and European troubles. Scared investors will sell Apple with its 60 billion dollars in cash and put the money in banks that are the most susceptible to a financial dislocation. It doesn’t seem logical, but logic goes out the window when fear takes over.

Buckle up for a lot of volatility this week. There could be many twists and turns as news will come fast and furious. Fear is not an investment plan. We have prepared for a difficult summer and it is upon us. It is time to look for opportunity.

Have a nice day everyone. We’ll keep you informed.

Recent Posts

Tech Stocks Continue to Drag Market Lower

Tech Stocks Continue to Drag Market Lower

Friends The weakness in tech/AI stocks continues and the market averages, especially the Nasdaq, continue to lose ground as we get closer to year end. Instead of taking a victory lap the stocks that have been the leaders all year long are now cowering nervously in the...

Stocks Mostly Lower after Employment Data Release

Stocks Mostly Lower after Employment Data Release

Friends This morning’s release of the November non-farm payroll number showed that 64,000 new jobs were added, which was better than analysts had expected. The unemployment rate did tick up to 4.6%, which was actually more than expected. It’s hard to determine if this...

Stocks Soft As Economic Data Looms

Stocks Soft As Economic Data Looms

Friends Today was pretty much the same script we have seen over the past couple of weeks. The AI/big tech names came under selling pressure enough to take the market averages into negative territory. It’s hard to read too much into recent market action as we are so...